Several studies have recently been published on market activity and results. In summary, what should we remember?
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According to the latest barometers from Fnaim and notaries, activity is recovering. More candidates for purchase, transactions on the rise, we should reach 940,000 sales in 2025, which is a good result compared to the last two years.
Prices are also on the rise. But not everywhere and not at the same pace. In large metropolises, annual increases are between +1% (for example in Lyon) and +4% in Toulouse and Strasbourg.
In the capital, prices increase by 2% on average over one year (notary situation). The median price per m2 reaches €9,700 with gaps widening depending on the neighborhood. We go from a little over €6,000/m2 at Porte de la Chapelle in 18e district, up to €15,000/m2 Saint-Germain-des-Prés district in 6e.
This represents almost 10,000 euros difference. And then, in Paris, as in big cities, there is always a shortage of properties to rent. It is becoming more and more difficult to find long-term rentals.
For now, interest rates are stabilizing. According to the Housing Credit Observatorythe rates are on average at 3.14% (excluding insurance), all durations combined. Rates rose to 4.3% two years ago.
If the declines are behind us, slight increases are still possible between now and the end of the year. For the rest, the Bpce studypresented this week, leans towards a slight increase in interest rates to 3.35% in 2026.
But with economic, political, budgetary uncertainties… it is extremely difficult to plan ahead.
It runs in slow motion. Despite a slight rebound in building authorizations, housing reservations, sales and construction starts are in sharp decline.
The weight of private investors continues to diminish. On the other hand, a thinning, on the individual house side, the activity is better. The PTZ (Zero interest loan), which makes it possible to cover 30% of the acquisition price of a new house, gives new desire and purchasing power to first-time buyers.
The home and renovation show runs until November 30 in Lyon. There is a lounge on the sustainable building and innovations, December 4 in Montpellier, and a condominium lounge December 4 and 5 in Nice.
And then in Paris, the Fnaim CongressReal Estate Federation, will take place on December 8 and 9 at the Carrousel du Louvre. Finally, the traditional SIMIreal estate investment fair, which is being held this year at Porte de Versailles, will open its doors from December 9 to 11.
