Editorial. François Bayrou, in turn, faced with the threat of censorship

After four months of consultation, negotiations ultimately resulted in anything. The unions denounce the inflexibility of the MEDEF, for whom the reform is very good as it is. The Prime Minister received all the partners in Matignon on Tuesday to try to save his “conclave”.

Can the failure of the re-pension conclave seal François Bayrou’s political fate? This is the outcome that the Prime Minister hopes to avoid. He clings to the tenuous hope to snatch an agreement between social partners, which he received Tuesday, June 24 in Matignon.

He still wants to believe possible to open a “Very difficult path to get out of the dead end” he said. But the noose tightens. The failure of the conclave is first of all that of the Bayrou method: to discuss and discuss again, to touch the arguments of each other, to mix everything to simmer a compromise, even if it means simmering the negotiations for a long time, for a very long time. François Bayrou was very much to resuscitate social democracy, he is weakened at the heart of his political DNA.

Socialists will file a motion of censorship, It was expected. In return for the conclave, they had given up censoring the government. They granted the benefit of the doubt to François Bayrou while somehow see. Four months later, they saw and consider themselves betrayed. Their change of foot is two happy. First Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who does not hesitate to teach them to reaffirm his leadership on the left. The rebellious is delighted that the PS “Coming back to reason, that is to say to the frontal opposition”. Marine Le Pen finds a referee’s role. Marginalized in the Assembly since the PS had taken on this role, the RN group becomes the king’s maker, or rather of government, as he was under Michel Barnier.

Will the RN vote for this motion? Normally no, but maybe yes! “We do not forbid anything”, said Jordan Bardella. Delighted to find a decisive role, Marine Le Pen goes, as usual, maintain the suspense until the end, even if The extreme right already fixes an appointment in the fall, during the budget. The Bayrou government is suspended and the countdown seems to be engaged. In Parliament, the common base is disintegrated, the LR right leads a guerrilla warfare to the government which it is supposed to support. At the same time, Tuesday, the Prime Minister endured the failure of the conclave on pensions, that of the reform of the voting system for Paris-Lyon-Marseille, and the rejection of the programmatic bill on energy distorted by the right and the extreme right. As the timeless Jacques Chirac said: “Emmerti, it still steals in squadron”.

For François Bayrou, the time of the crash is approaching. He will present painful budgetary choices in the worst position in the worst of positions, that of a condemned in advance by many, until in his camp. A sacrificial posture which he readily adopts. These days, the Prime Minister readily refers to one of his illustrious predecessors, Pierre Mendès-France. The man of peace in Indochina had held 7 months and 18 days. François Bayrou is on Wednesday June 25, at 6 months and 12 days.